Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.538128 0.594480 0.655212 0.725689 0.805424 0.893064 0.996995
2025-09-21 0.441735 0.518350 0.607123 0.718260 0.854616 1.017667 1.229211
2025-09-28 0.376126 0.458761 0.559102 0.691183 0.862352 1.079290 1.379246
2025-10-05 0.346332 0.436257 0.549834 0.705870 0.917904 1.200771 1.614919
2025-10-12 0.321888 0.416630 0.540357 0.716701 0.966442 1.315069 1.852485
2025-10-19 0.299875 0.397349 0.528390 0.721284 1.004684 1.416792 2.082737
2025-10-26 0.281057 0.380284 0.517192 0.724699 1.039984 1.516133 2.320429
2025-11-02 0.266024 0.366946 0.509582 0.731752 1.080191 1.625752 2.587679
2025-11-09 0.246510 0.345512 0.488269 0.715787 1.082337 1.674286 2.757586
2025-11-16 0.235392 0.335408 0.482649 0.722988 1.121286 1.785955 3.051941
2025-11-23 0.222297 0.321337 0.469811 0.717326 1.137950 1.860866 3.288744
2025-11-30 0.212652 0.311786 0.463099 0.720705 1.169668 1.964682 3.594592
2025-12-07 0.200449 0.297666 0.448478 0.710177 1.176920 2.026503 3.829912
2025-12-14 0.189996 0.285671 0.436462 0.703078 1.189585 2.099839 4.101069
2025-12-21 0.176624 0.268195 0.414351 0.676678 1.164243 2.097055 4.207713
2025-12-28 0.172177 0.264894 0.415389 0.690997 1.216129 2.251792 4.689765
2026-01-04 0.167350 0.260636 0.414459 0.701556 1.261622 2.398771 5.180313
2026-01-11 0.161804 0.254831 0.410452 0.706023 1.295364 2.524940 5.643751
2026-01-18 0.156458 0.249043 0.406070 0.709352 1.326959 2.650063 6.128180
2026-01-25 0.152028 0.244567 0.403688 0.716227 1.366407 2.797367 6.700112
2026-02-01 0.144493 0.234295 0.390311 0.700665 1.356828 2.831019 6.967573
2026-02-08 0.140748 0.230494 0.388439 0.707684 1.396599 2.985522 7.610073
2026-02-15 0.135469 0.223690 0.380641 0.702165 1.408109 3.073131 8.074227